The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Are they gross exaggerations? decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Whoa. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Now things start getting interesting. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. An unimaginably long time. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." You may think You say that to everyone!. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Step 1. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Now things start getting interesting. Based on the data from the CDC . The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Me neither. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Or stalk me (with love.). So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. June 24, 2022 . In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. On one try. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Do you know the odds of being alive? That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Those who are brave (foolish?) 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Thats 150,000 generations. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. What are the odds of that? You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. I would call that a personal relationship with God. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Step 2. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? I hope you use your chance well. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. That's 150,000 generations. Why? Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Step 3. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Step 4. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. But lets make it longer. Maybe that one would have been better. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? So to the second question: how accurate is this number? The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Part of HuffPost Wellness. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. saving. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Want to Read. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Were all winners in life without doing anything! In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. On one try. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Wowser. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. One in 2,000. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Is that an African fly or a European one? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The chances that they would then get knocked up? Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Then the probability of Mr. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Step 1. How fast does a laden fly fly? So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Think of yourself as dead. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Just go have some fucking fun! For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. On one try.. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Step 4. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Something was dropped and then picked up. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. But let's think about this some more.