fangraphs career war leaders fangraphs career war leaders

Much of the play-by-play, game results, and transaction information both shown and used to create certain data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Center Field: +2.5 runs Second Base: +2.5 runs We're asking for your help to make it through the offseason and ensure that we're here to cover baseball in the 2021 season and beyond. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Yesterday's post covered Cubs pitching, today's discusses their offense and defense. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 3:30 AM ET, Park Factors Total WAR is unaffected by roles. Batting average, for example, is defined as hits per at bat, but WAR is defined as the number of wins a player adds to his team compared to a replacement level player. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Like every other stat, WAR isn't perfect, but it helps make meaningful comparisons between players across eras. Also since 1992, Abreu ranks 21st in WAR among first baseman for ages 27-35, just behind Fred McGriff. All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. While listening to 670 The Score in Chicago one of the personalities went on a misguided excursion into advanced metrics by stating that ho Not all errors are created equal. WAR combines a number of inputs, but all of which are available on the site. Catcher First Base Second Base Third Base Shortstop Left Field Center Field Right Field You will wind up with essentially an identical number as if you use the Pythagpat formula and matches the real life runs per win relationship just as well. Win Expectancy, Run Expectancy, and Leverage Index calculations provided by Tom Tango of InsideTheBook.com, and co-author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. The league adjustment is a small correction to make it so that each leagues runs above average balances out to zero. Become a Stathead today and run queries with our, Most Unique Players by Age by Similarity Scores, Most Games without a World Series Appearance, Most Games without a Postseason Appearance, Highest Career and Single-Season Salaries, Scores from any date in Major League history, Minor, Foreign, College, & Black Baseball, Frequently Asked Questions about MLB and Baseball, Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREE. Why Has No One Signed Jurickson Profar Yet? Here's a look at the Phillies leaders in career Wins Above Replacement, according to FanGraphs' calculation. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. It is based on the run environment and is usually between 9 and 10. Which Third Baseman had the most Career WAR? Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? UZR is calculated using video tracking data from Baseball Info Solutions as developed byMitchell Lichtman. Replacement levels are adjusted slightly by season. . Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. The concept of $/WAR, or as it is otherwise known, "The Cost of a Win," is simple enough to grasp: MLB teams treat players as bundles of WAR to be had in exchange for money. For example, Torii Hunters WAR in 2002 was 3.2 and he had a .858 OPS with 23 stolen bases. You so great. Find out more. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 3:30 AM ET, Park Factors On the Calculation of $/WAR. To adjust wRAA for park and league, you do the following with the park factor expressed as a decimal (i.e. Much of the play-by-play, game results, and transaction information both shown and used to create certain data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet. . CAREER WAR: Career Wins Above Replacement. Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Baseball Reference Database. The primary role is determined by looking at all the appearance the player has made, it works well with players in the traditional roles. Further, the environment that these players grew up in was advantageous to pitching. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 3:30 AM ET, Park Factors KBO Leaders Batting, Pitching. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. The Win Values and Batted Ball leaderboards do not include data prior to 2002 because we just dont have that data yet. It is also the difference between RA9-Wins and FanGraphs' standard FIP-based pitching WAR. Data Provided By It has pitchers and position players on one leaderboard to compare their WAR. ( The batting component is based on wRAA (based off wOBA / linear weights) and uses 5 year regressed park factors going all the way back to 1871. At 64.2 career WAR, Trout has now compiled a Hall of Fame-worthy resume by his age-26 season. Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. ), Pitch Type Abbreviations & Classifications, about defensive statistics more generally here, Stolen Base Runs (rSB) aspect of Defensive Runs Saved and Runs Saved on Passed Pitches (RPP). 80 scouting scale (where 50 is average and each integer of 10 away from 50 represents one standard deviation) that uses WAR production to set the scale. Youll never miss by more than a run or so if you do the calculation properly, but if you get a 6.1 WAR and we list 6.0 WAR, it is almost certainly just a function of rounding. by Retrosheet. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. In the seasons since then, the only player who's led the second-place finisher by a wider margin than Ohtani did this season is Barry Bonds, who did it in. He may have slowed down over the years, but he is one of the greatest players ever. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. from their definition page The other thing to remember is that UZR isnt going to work well in small sample sizes, especially a couple of months or less. Below is a breakdown of exactly how we calculate WAR for position players. Fangraphs Career WAR Leaders; Justin Duchscherer Should Help O's . All rights reserved. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Do you have a blog? Many thanks to him. There are a variety of ways to arrive at RPW. To that end, calculating replacement level runs proceeds like this. In 1901, all fouls became strikes in the National League, followed by 1903 for the American league. It is entirely possible that the positional adjustments could change over time, so it is important to understand that these are estimates. To calculate their wRAA, do the following: wRAA is simply a non-adjusted Batting Runs. Once you get to one and three-year samples, its a relatively solid metric but defensive itself is quite variable so you need a good amount of data for the metrics to become particularly useful. You compared it to a sample size of two season and used one player as an example versus multiple seasons and dozens of players. Although there was a massive jump around 1992. What happens when a shortstop boots a ball but the runner doesnt subsequently score? Park Factors can be found here and wRC and PA for the leagues can be found using the leaderboards. We need your support to make FanGraphs sustainable so you can continue to enjoy all of the stats and tools you've come to rely on, like The Leaderboards. We need your support to make FanGraphs sustainable so you can continue to enjoy all of the stats and tools you've come to rely on, like The Leaderboards. Weve made an update, so the leaderboard now displays Total WAR, and not just WAR from their primary role. If UZR is not reliable for a year to year performance, how can WAR be reliable from year to year when 1/3 is based on UZR? FanGraphs' WPA data dates back to 1974. Many thanks to him. Youve probably heard the rule of thumb that 10 runs equals one win, but the actual ratio depends on run scoring in the league that year. All-Time Greats: Stan Musial, Barry Bonds, Babe Ruth, Derek Jeter, Oscar Charleston, Ken Griffey Jr, Jackie Robinson, Hank Aaron, . Of the 65 Position Players in the top 500 Wins Above Replacement, 21 are in the Hall of Fame. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Despite this his WAR was higher at 3.5. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. That cheapness led to the first players strike in 1908, and may have contributed to the Black Sox scandal in 1919. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. 1. Runs Per Out is simply runs scored in the season divided by outs in the season. So to calculate the positional adjustment: Positional Adjustment = ((Innings Played/9) / 162) * position specific run value listed above. With 10th-percentile sprint speed,. Some additional notes about our historical WAR: Were using the best fielding metric publicly available at the time, so for anything 2002 onward, were using Mitchel Lichtmans UZR and anything pre-2002, were using Sean Smiths Total Zone. Andrew Painter Threw Five Pitches to Carlos Correa, The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1145 2023 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. That provides use with Runs Above Replacement (RAR), which we convert to WAR by dividing it by Runs Per Win. UZR puts a run value to defense, attempting to quantify how many runs a player saved or gave up through their fielding prowess (or lack thereof) As with all linear weights-based metrics, the runs values are estimates. by Retrosheet. Its simpler, both conceptually and mathematically, and its relatively straightforward to calculate. Compared to WAR for pitchers, calculating position player WAR is a walk in the park. Also feel free to inspire me to use twitter more often @henkakyuu. This will add between 0 and 5 runs to a players value per season based on their league and PA. Man am i glad this site exists. Yeah it really puts it into perspective. Ive heard of some of them, like John McGraw (though he played half his career in the 19th century), Frank Chance (from the Tinker to Evers to Chance combo that marks the last time the Cubs won the World Series in 1907 1908), Nap Lajoie, Honus Wagner, and Sam Crawford. Do you have a blog? Given that the definition for WAR is somewhat subjective, different groups . First Base: -12.5 runs We list players at Third Base by WAR in their best five consecutive seasons. Fielding runs above average are relative to positional average, so a +10 first baseman is 10 runs better than the average first baseman and a +5 shortstop is five runs better than the average shortstop. Do you have a sports website? Mike Schmidt, 106.5 Schmidt, the best player in team history, amassed more WAR than any other Phillie, spending his whole career in Philadelphia from 1972-1989. Join our linker program. Win Expectancy, Run Expectancy, and Leverage Index calculations provided by Tom Tango of InsideTheBook.com, and co-author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. RAR and WAR communicate the same thing on different scales. The old one is here Also, a hearty thanks to bcp33bosox for suggesting outlines to give a point of reference for each shade. 30. by Handedness, Plate Discipline (O-Swing%, Z-Swing%, etc. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Next week we will tackle the Liveball Era, the emergence of Babe Ruth, and the first Hall of Fame balloting process. Essentially, you are calculating the difference between a replacement level player and an average player in that season given the number of PA. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. If you would like to learn about WAR for pitchers, you can find the necessary details over atthis Library pageand if you want to know about WAR in general and how to use it, check out this page. Full-year historical Major League statistics provided by Pete Palmer and Gary Gillette of Hidden Game Sports. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 3:30 AM ET, Park Factors Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 3:30 AM ET, Park Factors Below you will find a section on each of these components as well as links to entries that relate to those parts of the calculation. Third Base WAR Leaders | Baseball Egg All-Time Third Base WAR Rankings List of THIRD BASEMEN ranked by Wins Above Replacement. Pujols and Miggy are the only ones with more than Freeman's 21.5 WAR (the 4th is Frank Thomas at 20.4 WAR, but he'd have 30 if 1990-91 were included). by Retrosheet. We will consider each aspect of the equation in turn, but the basic structure is that we take Batting, Base Running, and Fielding runs above average, add in a positional adjustment, a league adjustment, and then add in runs so that we are comparing to replacement level instead of average. From 2017-19, he put up a 94 wRC+ and accumulated 3.5 WAR, with a career-high 33 home runs in his final season for Los Angeles. by Retrosheet. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Check it out here. Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 12:52AM. Left Field: -7.5 runs Major League Leaders Batting: 2022, 2021 , 2020, 2019 . Since 1992, there have been only 4 first baseman to have 20+ WAR by age 26. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, For example, if an 81-81 team has a run differential of zero, what would you expect the run differential to be for a team that is 82-80? The Total WAR column will display his batting (position player) WAR + pitching WAR. WAR is context neutral, meaning players do not get additional credit for hitting with men on base or in high leverage situations. 2000 onward are based on Tangotigers positional adjustments. The next year his OPS was .753 with 6 stolen bases and 7 CS. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Unranked. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. This leaderboard is a candidate for additional overhaul and expansion, so let us know if there are additional features that would be useful for a combined WAR leaderboard. Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. Some high school data is courtesy David McWater. Some of the specifics have changed since then, but they are still quite useful if you have additional inquiries. Fielding runs are relative to position average, but we need to include the fact that it is harder to play average shortstop than it is to play average first base. Its available in the career leaderboards and on the individual player pages currently and will work its way to some other sections of the site pretty soon. Like every other stat, WAR isn't perfect, but it helps make meaningful comparisons between players across eras. Last week we covered the position players of the 19th century. In this case, the run value of a stolen base is set at .2 runs for all seasons. by Retrosheet. Runs per win (RPW) is the value that allows us to convert runs to wins. Drew Rom. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 3:30 AM ET, Park Factors Within our Leaders menu there sits a Combined WAR Leaderboard under the WAR Tools sub-header. Furthermore, in his back to back MVP seasons in 2008-2009, Pujols hit .352/.452/.656 with 84 home runs, 251 RBI, and 373 hits. FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference have the same replacement level (1,000 WAR per 2,430 games played) and we allocate 57% of the WAR to position players and 43% to pitchers. That is the beginning of the two-league system we still enjoy today. Key [ edit] Find out more. Wins Above Replacement (WAR) is a concept rather than one individual statistic. Designated Hitter: -17.5 runs. If you want to know more about how WAR is calculated for position players, read the 7 part series. Where does it state that UZR is NOT reliable from year to year? In 1901, the American League was formed, making it the second major league along with the National League. Which had the most WAR in his seven best seasons OR three best seasons? Career Leaders & Records for Wins Above Replacement | Baseball-Reference.com Career Leaders & Records for Wins Above Replacement Create your own custom leaderboards Become a Stathead today and run queries with our Season and Career Finders to see the best seasons in MLB history. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Fangraphs Career WAR Leaders Fan Projection Targets: New Strikeout Wizards Matt Garza Is Aaron Harang? The seasonal constants for wSB can be found alongside thewOBAconstantshere. (Stat developed by Jay Jaffe) Career Leaderboards | FanGraphs Baseball Career Leaderboards by David Appelman March 13, 2009 There are now career leaderboards for the Standard, Advanced, Batted Ball, and Win Values stats. David Appelman is the creator of FanGraphs. Fangraphs Career WAR Leaders Fan Projections Update The Pujols Contract I'm an expat living in Japan since 2003, doing sales and marketing work. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, [1] As of the end of the 2022 Major League Baseball season, 314 players have reached a WAR value of 50 or higher, as detailed in this list. Our formula looks like this: RPW = 9*(MLB Runs Scored / MLB Innings Pitched)*1.5 + 3. AS far as catcher defense rating, how can you NOT have a pitchers hold ability as a factor. Expansion | Free Agency | Modern Era. League wOBA, wOBA Scale, and R/PA can be found here. Become a Stathead In other words, this is the leagues runs scored per nine innings times 1.5, plus three. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Positional adjustments prior to 2000 are based off Sean Smiths positional adjustments by decade. Researching and explaining the "common knowledge" of baseball and other sports. by Handedness. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis . You can calculate wSB yourself, however. Do you have a sports website? Right Field: -7.5 runs This affects Poseys rSB because a few tenths of a second will let the runner be safe instead of out. In 2018, Trout begins to realize those typical peak years and lives up to those Mantle comparisons, replicating Mantle's age-26 season. WAR for Position Players introduction series: Piper was the editor-in-chief of DRaysBay and the keeper of the FanGraphs Library. Here are the full FanGraphs positional adjustments used in WAR: Catcher: +12.5 runs (all are per 162 defensive games) fWAR, rWAR, and WARP. If you had a Hall of Fame ballot for this period, which 21 players would you pick? You wont be able to calculate UBR yourself because it requires video tracking data from Baseball Info Solutions, but wGDP is essentially a comparison between a players expected number of double plays and their true number of double plays measured in runs. The positional adjustment is necessary for putting all defensive positions on the same scale. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. 0.95 for 95): Batting Runs = wRAA + (lgR/PA (PF*lgR/PA))*PA + (lgR/PA (AL or NL non-pitcher wRC/PA))*PA. Here in the FanGraphs Library, we have many pages devoted to extremely detailed breakdowns of some of our most prominent statistics. But that leaves 16 players in the Hall of Fame that I cant recognize by name, and another 50 players or so that are among the 500 best that I have never heard of. Links to player pages (career WAR in parentheses): I'm an expat living in Japan since 2003, doing sales and marketing work. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. The run to win converter is also adjusted by season, but its generally going to be right around 10. 5: One More SP Episode, Jake Mailhots 2023 Ottoneu Starting Pitcher Rankings, Starting Pitchers Arent Leaning On Their Best Pitches. Shohei Ohtanis primary role is displaying as a position player. Our next stop is the Deadball Era. The primary role only affects the which WAR is reported to the Primary WAR. All rights reserved. About The Graphs nth Best: the selected player (s) single season WAR sorted from his best season starting on the left to his worst season on the far right Cumulative by Age: the selected player. To find the league adjustment find the league specific values (AL or NL) and do the following: League Adjustment = ((-1)*(lgBatting Runs + lgBase Running Runs + lgFielding Runs + lgPositional Adjustment) / lgPA)*PA. We currently do not include framing runs in WAR for catchers, and catcher defense is admittedly the most difficult to measure in general. On the all-time WAR leaderboards, Molina is still well behind Johnny Bench, Carlton Fisk, and Gary Carter no matter which WAR you choose. This was necessary because a certain two-way player started playing in the league this season. That yearwould also see the first World Series, held every year (except 1904, and other strike years). Beyond Rojas and Taylor, the next man up at shortstop is probably Yonny Hernandez, a 24-year-old switch-hitter whom the Dodgers purchased from the A's in December, his third time changing teams. However, using average is not an ideal baseline because being an average player has value and because using Wins Above Average would not allow you to distinguish between a player who had one PA and a player who had 600 average PA. To this end, we compare players to replacement level, which you can think of as a freely available player such as a minor league free agent or very poor MLB bench player. Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 12:52AM. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. There's a wealth of information available on the pages once you view them, so take the time to see everything there is, because these pages give tremendous historical context as to who the best in baseball history were after correcting for differences over time. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, That jump looks to be about as large as the jump from 1968s Year of the Pitcher to 1969, when the lowered the mound in response. However, for our RPW number we use a simplified version developed by Tom Tango that winds up matching Pythagpat give or take about .02 runs per win in any given year. As a result, we add an adjustment for this. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Some high school data is courtesy David McWater. Discover the current and all time season leaders in Seasonal, Offensive, Defensive, and Pitching Wins Above Replacement in Major League Baseball on ESPN.com MLB Wins Above Replacement - 2022 Season: We're asking for your help to make it. You can find "wOBA scale" values for any year from 1871-2010 here, and league-average wOBA for every year can be found on the FanGraphs leaderboards.The exact wOBA scale value varies on a year-to-year basis in order to set wOBA on the same scale as league-average OBP. the official stats partner of the NBA, NHL and MLB. Bold indicates active player. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Taking the value of a players stolen base runs and their runs on the bases in other situations provides us with the players base running runs above average. Replacement Level Runs = (570 * (MLB Games/2,430)) * (Runs Per Win/lgPA) * PA. That 570 represents the 57% of 1,000 available WAR, which you multiply by the percentage of total games played to that point in the season. ), The 2013 Mistake Index--Fielding Errors, Pitching Mishaps and Base Running Gaffes by Teams AND Their Opponents, FanGraphs Best Players of All-Time by WAR, The 2013 Cubs Reviewed--Hitting and Defense, Scoring When the Leadoff Hitter Reaches Base, 670 The Score--Chicago Sports Radio (listen between 9am-1pm at your own risk except when Matt Abbatacola does the updates). All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. A defensive game for these purposes is simply nine innings played at that position. But the owners were cheap back then. He joined the Diamondbacks in free agency the following year and produced a career-high 125 wRC+ and 1.5 WAR during the shortened season. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Or write about sports? Well do full WAR for pitchers eventually, but right now thats still only 2002 onward. There were still tremendous players in that era. There will be Win Probability and Fielding career leaderboards eventually, but its going to take a bit more work. With no further adieu, here is the graph showing the best position players of the Deadball Era: When I changed the methodology, I updated the above graphic. Did the writers and the Veterans committee make the right choice? Below is the method for calculating WAR for position players. Thats runs per win. From 2003-2010, Pujols averaged 8.7 WAR per season. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Posts These links take you to the FanGraphs page by position and ranks the players by career WAR. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Eight of the top nine prospects in ZiPS are basically the top pitching prospects on Eric and Tess' list. Maybe similar to the depth charts positions grid, but for past production rather than ROS projections. In 1894, the rules were changed to call fouled-off bunts as strikes. (As of 4/21/2018, youll find Shohei Ohtani on the second page of the leaderboard.). The calculation is as follows: wSB = SB * runSB + CS * runCS lgwSB * (1B + BB + HBP IBB), lgwSB = (lgSB * runSB + lgCS * runCS) / (lg1B + lgBB + lgHBP lgIBB). Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Also, on the site we have a statistic called Off which is Batting + Base Running and Def which is Fielding + Positional Adjustment. UBR and wGDP are statistics developed by Mitchell Lichtman and provided to FanGraphs. SP. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted The overall equation for WAR is: WAR = (Batting Runs + Base Running Runs + Fielding Runs + Positional Adjustment + League Adjustment +Replacement Runs) / (Runs Per Win). Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Trout posts career-highs in homers and wRC+, though the average, OBP and WAR have all been done before. by Retrosheet. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 3:30 AM ET, Park Factors Full-year historical Major League statistics provided by Pete Palmer and Gary Gillette of Hidden Game Sports. More of my work is. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. WAR7: Top 7 seasons, based on Wins Above Replacement. Atom David Appelman is the creator of FanGraphs. Theyre all right around 20 runs with the exception of a few years and a couple leagues. by Handedness, One Night Only: Your Entire Weekend, Planned. To that end, calculating replacement level runs proceeds like this. Foregone conclusions as recently as two weeks ago have been upended. the official stats partner of the NBA, NHL and MLB. Each leagues Batting Runs + Base Running Runs + Fielding Runs + Positional Adjustment often total to something slightly different from zero. Replacement Level Runs = (570 * (MLB Games/2,430)) * (Runs Per Win/lgPA) * PA. The process reflects the average number of runs a team needs to score in order to add one win to their total. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Some defensive statistics Copyright Sports Info Solutions, 2010-2023. The most famous is likely Patriots Pythagpat, which is is win estimator we use elsewhere on the site. More of my work is available on Henkakyuu, my personal blog. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Effectively Wild Episode 1976: Season Preview Series: Dodgers and Cubs, The Weakest Positions on National League Contenders. WAR is an estimate of value and should be treated as the center of a range of possibilities rather than a precise measure.